At the terminal of 2017 , as part of their ongoing environmental reform , the Chinese governing implemented a lasting ban on the meaning of non - industrial plastic waste . Up until that point , the res publica had been take on massive shipments of bags , bottles , packaging , straws , and otherfossil fuel - derive polymer detritusfrom 123 other state so that local plants could dissolve it down and reform it into Modern commercial-grade products .
According to a study by the University of Georgia , China take 7.35 million tons of plastic wastefulness intend for recycling in 2016 alone ; more than half of the full amount exported that twelvemonth . ( More than 320 million tons of plastic waste are nowcreated each twelvemonth , and only an approximate 9 percent gets recycle . Eighty percent ends up in landfill or the sea . )
If you ’re wondering why most of the countries in the world have n’t been recycling their own waste , the sad reply is that sorting and processing the extremely contaminated plastic waste stream is challenging and expensively energy - run through ; thus , enthral the junk to China , a manufacturing powerhouse already fit out with the necessary base , has long been the easy solution .

Given this drastic shift in policy , the authors , all materials engineers , wonder what the future formative waste burden will look like if the ease of the world carries on buying and tossing items made of these unsustainable materials at today ’s rates .
Their study , publish inScience Advances , made jut using 28 years of plastic waste consequence / exportation information compiled by the UN Commodity Trade Database .
Assuming a ‘ line as usual ’ consumption level , the squad forecast that we will have accumulated 111 million metric short ton ( 244.7 billion pounds ) of strand moldable waste by 2030 .
Depressingly , this shocking figure is likely on the conservative terminal because the UN trade ledgers only account for document waste movement . The existing black market for plastic transactions , though minimal compare with the above - board transactions , will inflate the issue .
“ The displace plastic waste is equal to nearly half ( 47 % ) of all plastic waste that has been imported globally since coverage began in 1988 , ” they wrote .
“ With plastic production and usance continue to rise up , and company and country both perpetrate to circular thriftiness and increase charge plate recycling rates , the measure of plastic dissipation need a ‘ home ’ will continue to increase for the foreseeable future , ” the authors preserve , touching upon the fact that more and more governments and industry leader are pledging to recycle – rather than immediately landfill – plastic mathematical product , yet none are prepared to undertake the summons themselves .
“ Both the displaced plastic waste and next increases in plastic recycling must be addressed like a shot . ”
principal researcher Amy Brooks and her colleagues recommend that the nine gamy - income countries ( including the US and UK ) who export 87 percent of the creation ’s full wastefulness should reckon this dire monition as an chance to rise their inner recycling market , as the other top plastic waste importing nations do not have the means to take China ’s share .
As for how individuals can do their part , the first two steps of the standby environmental tenet ‘ reduce , reuse , recycle ’ remain satisfying advice .
“ These are really simple things that you’re able to test to do , ” Brooks toldThe Verge . “ And I screw that people do n’t really feel like they ’re create a departure when they do that on their own [ … ] but when millions of people start doing that , it will absolutely make a conflict . ”